Arctic Climate Extremes
Arctic Climate Extremes
Blog Article
There are multiple extreme events underway in the Arctic that are beyond previous records: rain in Greenland, Alaska weather variability, and ecosystem reorganizations in the Barents and the northern Bering Sea associated with climate change and balance bikes sea-ice loss.Such unique extreme events represent a philosophical challenge for interpretation, i.e., a lack of statistical basis, as well as important information for regional adaptation to climate change.
These changes are affecting regional food security, human/wildlife health, cultural activities, and marine wildlife conservation.Twenty years ago, the Arctic was more resilient to climate Wooden Car change than now, as sea ice had a broader extent and was three times thicker than today.These new states cannot be assigned probabilities because one cannot a priori conceive of these states.They often have no historical analogues.
A way forward for adaptation to future extremes is through scenario/narrative approaches; a recent development in climate change policy is through decision making under deep uncertainty (DMDU).